T2.23 — symmetric inverse of premium_new_listing_exhaustion_short. Fires when a new listing dumps vertically (≤-25% / 24h) with a capitulation bar (biggest volume of the move) and a bullish CHoCH on 15m. Routes via the arm-only path: trigger-watcher fires at the 38-50% retrace UP from current, not at the falling-knife mid. Anti-late: dist_swing_low_4h_pct ≤ 8 (still near the bottom). Universe matches the short twin.
Symmetric inverse of the exhaustion short — dump-bottom bounce, arm-only. A new listing (3–30d) dumps ≥-25%/24h with a capitulation bar (biggest volume of the move) and a bullish 15m CHoCH. Routes via the arm-only path: the trigger-watcher fires at the 38–50% retrace UP from current, not at the falling-knife mid. Anti-late: dist_swing_low_4h_pct ≤ 8 (still near the bottom), discount zone only.
listing_age 3–30d + change_pct ≤ -25 + volume_spike_ratio ≥ 4 + rejection_wick_15m_bull + is_largest_volume_bar_of_move_15m + choch_15m==bullish + dist_swing_low_4h_pct ≤ 8 + zone_htf==discount.
| Horizon | Swing |
| Scanner timeframe | 15m / 24h |
| Confirm entry on | 15m (armed retest) |
| Typical hold | Hours–1 day |
| Max hold / time-stop | Until the retrace zone invalidates |
The pages below are free and educational, but the actionable plan stays in the app:
Forward-validation pending; treat as a setup filter, not a proven edge. Full breakdown in the premium app.