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Contango Fade — Perp Premium Short

Crypto Futures SELL signal Crypto Futures — OI vs Price Dynamics SWING

Perpetual mark price trading ABOVE the spot index with positive funding confirming the crowded-long premium. Two simultaneous mechanical forces drive the perp back DOWN: arbitrageurs sell the expensive perp and buy spot until the gap closes; longs paying above-normal carry reduce exposure as cost compounds. Mirror-image of Backwardation Reversal — same arb mechanics, opposite direction. Ranked by deepest positive basis.

The edge — what this scanner is hunting

Quarterly futures premium > perp + high positive funding = nobody left to buy. Both markets priced for upside.

How it fires

It fires when all of these line up:

When to take this trade

HorizonSwing
Scanner timeframe1d
Confirm entry on4h / 1d
Typical hold2–7 days
Max hold / time-stopUntil basis normalizes
🔒 The trade plan is premium-only

The pages below are free and educational, but the actionable plan stays in the app:

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Historical edge

60–65% over 3–7 day windows; sparse setup, fires 2–3x per quarter. Full breakdown in the premium app.

For educational purposes only — user discretion is advised. This screener identifies a statistical edge, not a guaranteed trade. Past performance does not predict future results. Crypto perpetuals are highly leveraged — position sizing, stops, and risk-per-trade discipline are non-negotiable. This is information, not financial advice. Always do your own analysis before entering a trade.

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